10/9/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Morphettville
The Parks track at Morphettville will play host to a nine race card on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out six meters for the entire circuit.
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Race 1. (12:42) Simone Montgomerie (Bm62) 1400m
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Back Me
4 Princess Party (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a filly I have time for. Macdonald/Gluyas trained three year old that is bred to be a strong 2000m+ horse so the fact she’s racing so well at the short trips tells me she has talent. Good second to Intrepid Eagle on debut at Murray Bridge before a far from disgraced fourth to Merry Mac Boy, a Peter Moody three year old who I think can measure up in Melbourne. Hard fit now and up to 1400m, Party Princess should take beating.
Danger
5 More Rewards (Bet Now: $SP.00) is racing like 1400m will suit. She ran in Merry Mac Boy race from a fortnight back and just wasn’t suited by the sit/sprint but stuck on pretty well in defeat. I do think 1400m will be fine and off her trial/jumpout work, she is a filly that I do think has talent.
Long shot
1 Karaka Kiwi (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a horse I do have time for. Jordan Frew trained gelding that debuted at Murray Bridge three weeks back and while he was no match for Kusu, he battled on well and found the line nicely enough to finish second. Like him up to 1400m and should be strong late.
Race 2. (13:17) Saja Supports The Njt (Bm72) 1000m
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Back Me
Looks to be good speed here so want to be on something strong late and 6 Devin (Bet Now: $SP.00) fits that criteria. This mare ran over 1250m here two weeks ago where she drew wide, covered ground and was never a factor in a total forgive. Likes the short course, she’ll be strong late provided the inside gate isn’t a negative.
Danger
7 Rodeo (Bet Now: $SP.00) creates interest. Team Jolly trained mare that resumes, having not raced since April 4 when an impressive winner over 1050m on the course proper here, but was found to have bled from both nostrils. With bleeders, they either come back and fire, or they totally flop, with no inbetween. Trial was good, but watch the market.
Long shot
4 Equichunk (Bet Now: $SP.00) is an interesting runner. Jordan Frew trained gelding that resumes, having not raced since Feb 16 when a strong winner at Strathalbyn in what has turned out to be a solid form race. Sprints well fresh and stable do have to be respected when coming to town.
Race 3. (13:52) Melanie Tyndall Mdn Plate 1300m
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Back Me
2 Commander Meroo (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a nice horse for John Macmillan. Good second on debut to Born To Run before going to Gawler where he got a fair way back in the run and had to make a sustained run from a fair way out, just dying on the run late when third. Up in trip, hard to beat if he can settle closer in the run.
Danger
12 Imbibe (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a fascinating runner. Formerly with Team McEvoy, this filly now finds herself with Team Alexander. Lone run came on Adelaide Cup Day when on speed and fighting on well behind Bistro. No jumpouts from what I can find but Vorster on and fresh at 1300m tells me there is intent.
Long shot
8 Free Wine (Bet Now: $SP.00) should be suited at 1300m. Richards/Moyle trained gelding that resumed two weeks back in a maiden here over 1000m where he was run off his legs and was never a factor but picked up and was good late when third. How strong was that maiden? Not sure, but the same can be said here.
Race 4. (14:32) Syd Robert Mcdonald Mem (Bm68) 1950m
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Back Me
Fitter and up to trip, I am in the corner of 6 Take Me North (Bet Now: $SP.00). Ran over 1800m last Saturday on the course proper here where she had the suck run behind the speed and was there to win but had to settle for a second to Moscow Red. She was a month between runs there, so she’s got room for improvement. She appeals in a thin race.
Danger
5 Exalted Ruth (Bet Now: $SP.00) has done little wrong since joining Garret Lynch. Last couple of runs have come at this track/distance, the latest coming two weeks ago where she was near the speed throughout and battled on really well behind Aeecee Dolce. If she can get an economic run in transit, she’ll take beating.
Long shot
2 Prince Jofra (Bet Now: $SP.00) has been up forever it seems like but gee he’s racing well. He closed off strongly in the Aeecee Dolce race from two weeks back at this track/distance after getting back to near last in the run. Another for Garret Lynch that is flying and has to be respected.
Race 5. (15:07) Caitlin Forrest (Bm68) 1550m
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Back Me
8 Hoists (Bet Now: $SP.00) looks the winner if he brings his first up effort, which was at Bendigo where he was near the speed throughout and chased strongly but was no match for a very good animal, Mr News, who would be $1.10 against these. Stable rarely misfire when they travel to SA and they are just starting to find form in Victoria. Vorster on, he’ll do me.
Danger
6 Montepulciano (Bet Now: $SP.00) is knocking on the door to win again. He was 1600m back to 1400m a few weeks ago at Murray Bridge where he lumped a big weight but tried his guts out, just failing to get the win when beaten narrowly by Headphones. He’s got an awful winning strike rate, but I feel he’s racing well, and can certainly take this out.
Long shot
5 Getouttheway (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a Sue Nolan trained gelding that comes here with fresh legs, having not raced since July 30 when down the track on the course proper here behind Miss Gobcain. Saves his best for Gawler, but the trial was encouraging, and overall, this isn’t a strong race.
Race 6. (15:47) Scott Leckey Hcp (C1) 1250m
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Back Me
4 Lucky Blue (Bet Now: $SP.00) has found that elusive win and he can certainly go on with it. Ran over 1200m at Gawler where he led throughout and what I liked is that he was there to be run down but found plenty under pressure to fend them off and win. Has run well at metro level before and finds a weak Class 1.
Danger
3 Bubble Over (Bet Now: $SP.00) is working up to another win. She ran two weeks ago over this track/distance and was there to win, looking the winner, but was nabbed late by a promising animal in Big Man At Night. That horse is talented so I am respecting that form in a very winnable race like this.
Long shot
11 Bludog (Bet Now: $SP.00) doesn’t have the best of racing patterns but he will be strong late. He ran two weeks back here where he was near last in the run and never really a winning factor but was good late when fourth to Big Man At Night. First up run was poor, but last start indicates he’s back on track.
Race 7. (16:27) Happy 80Th Ron Banner (Bm82) 1300m
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Back Me
3 Night Passage (Bet Now: $SP.00) returns to SA and with that, I think she can get back into the winners list. Resumed with a needing the run prep opener at Flemington before going to the Ballarat Synthetic when wide no cover and pulling late behind My Boy Birmingham. Hard fit now, not much depth here, she’s well placed.
Danger
8 Hidden Legend (Bet Now: $SP.00) should be around the mark. He had a suck run behind the speed here a fortnight back and was there to win but couldn’t quite finish it off when a close up third to Montign. Wasn’t beaten far fresh so I think he’s working up to a win. Could easily come here.
Long shot
10 Hankstar (Bet Now: $SP.00) looks to be back on track. Hadn’t fired during the main part of the Winter so was given a break and ran over 1000m two weeks back where he was very good late from the back behind Rigel Star. Fitter and up to 1300m, he rates quite highly against these if he can build off that last run.
Race 8. (17:03) Donate At Njt.Org.Au (Bm68) 1250m
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Back Me
1 Cong (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a very hard horse to catch but he is talented. He just got too far back in the run a fortnight back here, five wide as well and was okay late without threatening behind Rigel Star. If he is able to sit closer in the run, he certainly has the engine under the hood to give this a shake.
Danger
8 Eyes Never Lie (Bet Now: $SP.00) hasn’t won in a little while but is racing well and is around the mark more often than not. Not sure the bog track was to her liking last time on the course proper but she was far from disgraced and wasn’t beaten far behind Next Dimension. Good record on the Parks track, she appeals.
Long shot
7 Enchantingly (Bet Now: $SP.00) is such a fascinating runner. This mare trialled up well prior to resuming two weeks back here and she was terrible, finishing second last, but the market knew something was up because she was $4 out to near double figures. D-Day for her I think, but her best is clearly good enough.
Race 9. (17:38) Jagger Watches Hcp (62) 1000m
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Back Me
13 Two Odd Sox (Bet Now: $SP.00) is worth a throw at the stumps in the get out. Shayne Cahill trained veteran that resumes, having not raced since May 28 at Murray Bridge when producing an end of prep run behind Hateech, who he ran second to in a recent trial. You go back to his previous form, gee it reads well for a moderate 60, plus with the claim for Opperman, good speed in front, he’s worth a small each way ticket.
Danger
8 Manage The Cycle (Bet Now: $SP.00) is working up to a win for John Macmillan. He ran three weeks ago at Murray Bridge where he came with a well timed run and for a few strides looked the winner, only to be nabbed late by Night Of Delight. 1000m on the Parks track is scary but he’s hard to beat against these.
Long shot
4 Sea Witness (Bet Now: $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and give plenty of cheek. He resumed three weeks ago at Murray Bridge where he led and gave a solid kick but couldn’t quite finish the job when third to the well backed Night Of Delight. Last bit will test, but he’ll give a good sight.
BEST BET: Race Five Number 8 Hoists
NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 3 Night Passage
LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 13 Two Odd Sox
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 3, 4
Leg Two: 3
Leg Three: 1, 3, 7, 8
Leg Four: 4, 8, 10, 11, 13
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